Research Frontier · Reproduction Surface · RFV3-01

Same State. Different Future.

Packaging state: RECORD_BOUND · External reproduction observed: false

This surface packages the bounded C-MAPSS predictive track and Relational Transition Geometry evidence for independent inspection without pooling their evidentiary roles.

Boundary. Prediction, controlled mechanism support, and independent-system replication are separate contracts. This page does not claim unaffiliated laboratory reproduction.

Question tested

Can present state look the same while the structure of the transitions still available carries additional predictive or causal information?

Scientific/operational standing

C-MAPSS: bounded empirical predictive signal. RTG: controlled mechanism support plus bounded independent-system prospective replication. Earlier NOT_IDENTIFIABLE history remains separate.

Inputs

Frozen C-MAPSS predictive study records.
RTS24 equal-present-state, equal-resource intervention-twin construction with 30 sealed selected states.
Independent-system replication on pglib_opf_case60_c.

Comparator / baseline

C-MAPSS compares the frozen baseline predictor with the admitted structural augmentation. RTG compares matched intervention twins with present state and recovery budget held equal while relational placement changes.

Procedure

Preserve the frozen state-selection and comparator rules.
For RTG compute D_i = sign(Delta_PROBE_i) * Delta_CHALLENGE_i.
Compute T = mean_i(D_i) over the sealed states.
Repeat the frozen relational test on the independent power-system model without pooling results across experiments.

Expected outputs

C-MAPSS: FD003 RMSE 39.0971→26.2617 (+32.83%); FD004 50.1103→47.5843 (+5.04%); FD002 OBJECT_FAILURE with no scientific outcome. RTG support: T=0.5624591503267974, 95% CI [0.3326645453503039,0.7558825450242793]. Independent-system replication: T=0.21785206258890463, 95% CI [0.11979333549127599,0.34360525563157146].

Verification

Check the preserved public claim record and current result record, recompute the declared statistics where the required inputs are available, and keep predictive, mechanism, and replication dispositions separate.

Known gaps

The historical RTG custody record identifies incomplete original raw-cell custody and unavailable original selected-state-ledger bytes. Those bytes are not reconstructed here. Independent-laboratory reproduction has not been observed.

What successful reproduction would establish

A bounded reproduction would support the specified predictive or relational effect under the frozen dataset/model semantics and acceptance rules used for that reproduced experiment.

What it would not establish

It would not establish a universal transition law, real-grid causal law, human or social mechanism, cross-domain generality, priority, or automatic support for another Research Frontier object.

Exact sources

Publication crosswalk v3 · Reproduction expression-standard crosswalk v1 · Current public result record

Proprietary boundary

Reproduction of the bounded proposition does not require disclosure of the complete Diamond Gate Bridge production or control-plane implementation. A neutral implementation may be used when it preserves the frozen inputs, intervention, statistic, comparator, and acceptance criteria.